Growth rate derived from this channel’s exact view growth. The dimmed digits are within ±21.8K and narrow as we watch.
YouTube publishes subscriber counts rounded to three significant figures, so the exact figure is never public. The number above is projected from our own recorded readings; the badge tells you which kind of number you are looking at, and the methodology page explains how it is worked out.
Subscriber and view figures originate from the YouTube Data API and remain the property of their respective owners. Growth rates, projections, milestone estimates and written analysis are LiveCount’s own work, derived from readings we record ourselves. LiveCount is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to YouTube or Google.
1:30:1212.4M views · 3 months ago
55:3311.6M views · a year ago
Recent uploads from NileRed, with thumbnails and view counts from the YouTube Data API. Each card links to the video on YouTube.
NileRed is adding about 2,239 subscribers a day. We have not recorded any gains in the last seven or thirty days. On this pace, the next milestone of 12,000,000 subscribers would be reached around 11 October 2028.
AI summary — please check for mistakes. Written by GPT-5-nano from LiveCount’s own readings on 4 November 2026. Not checked by a person. Where it disagrees with the figures above, the figures are right.
Next round number
12.0M
933,475 to go — on the current pace, some time in 2028.
Somewhere between Jun 2028 and Aug 2029.
Next major milestone
20.0M
8,933,475 to go — on the current pace, some time in 2046.
Somewhere between Feb 2042 and Apr 2053.
Where the count lands if the current growth rate holds. The range is not a margin of error on a measurement — it is the spread of outcomes we think plausible, and it widens with the horizon because a rate measured today is only approximately right tomorrow.
| When | Projected | Gain | Plausible range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tomorrow5 Nov 26 | 11,067,789 | +1.3K | 11.0M – 11.1M |
| In a week11 Nov 26 | 11,075,373 | +8.8K | 11.0M – 11.1M |
| In a month4 Dec 26 | 11,104,443 | +37.9K | 11.0M – 11.2M |
| In three months2 Feb 27 | 11,180,280 | +113.8K | 11.1M – 11.3M |
| In a year4 Nov 27 | 11,527,867 | +461.3K | 11.3M – 11.8M |
Coefficient of variation 7.68
By subscriber count among channels tracked on this site
By subscribers added per day, among channels whose rate we have measured
Lifetime views ÷ subscribers
Total subscribers ÷ channel age